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The observations suggest that the warming effect of man-made emissions of CO the direct effect of the extra carbon dioxide.
The test of scientific knowledge is through experiment and observation.The theory of catastrophic man-made global warming has been tested from many independent angles. The models didn’t correctly predict changes in outgoing radiation, or the humidity and temperature trends of the upper troposphere.The heat is missing from oceans; it’s missing from the upper troposphere. The models can’t predict the short term, the regional, or the long term. The single most important fact, dominating everything else, is that the ocean heat content has barely increased since 2003 (and quite possibly decreased) counter to the simulations.The oceans release carbon dioxide, more water evaporates, humidity changes, sea-levels rise, and all of those consequent changes further affect temperatures.The feedbacks are not just icing on the cake, but in the IPCC’s view, collectively more powerful than any forcing due directly to CO The IPCC could be right about one hundred factors, but if they are using the wrong assumptions about the way clouds and humidity behave, the forecast of an alarming three degrees could be reduced to a forecast of a mere half-a-degree. Not only is it hard to put a value on all the feedbacks, it’s difficult to know if some changes are a feedback or a forcing or even both at once — for example, clouds.While a theory may never be 100% proven, it can be disproven.
The pieces of the climate jigsaw are coming together.
The only evidence the government scientists provide on the key points of attribution (the cause of the warming) come from simulations of the climate done with computers.
Those models are unverified, and when tested, have “no skill” at predicting the climate.
Models assume that relative humidity will stay the same over the tropics as the world warms, that clouds are a positive feedback and not a negative one, and that cloud changes are a feedback and not a forcing in their own right. , but observations from eight natural experiments around the globe, and even on Mars and Venus suggest that 0.4°C is the upper bound of climate sensitivity to any cause.
In addition, if Miscolscki is right, and an increase in carbon dioxide leads to a decrease in water vapor, then the sensitivity due to CO could be close to zero.
Clouds’ impact on climate would obviously change as the world warms (a feedback) but, if solar-magnetic effects change clouds, as now seems likely, clouds could also drive climate change (a forcing).